Firstly, I highly recommend reading American Nations for an overview of the regional cultures of the United States, their ethnic origins, and how they came to be mostly civic nationalist in outlook. Here, however, I would like to diverge and discuss what possibilities exist for an ethnically nationalist-based partition of the American empire, which has grown quite large, inefficient, hated, and ethnically diverse. It is in effect, an Austria-Hungary for the 21st century. It will not survive any more than the empires that preceded it have. No doubt, the United States of America will reverberate throughout the history of the Americas and the world as an unbelievably mighty and advanced civilization, but our descendents will only have ruins and history books to admire.
I believe that a partition of the United States, while not inevitable, is not only a likely outcome but a beneficial outcome. Much of the political gridlock and cultural conflict in this country is derived from ethnic differences and divergent ideologies. Whether it’s social policies, media representation, interactions with the police, ideas about government or any number of contemporary issues, they are all rooted in race/ethnicity in some way, shape or form. The division—or collapse—of the United States into several successor republics along nationalist principles would help solve this issue. Not all of the states created through partition need be nationalist—creating viable nation states out of some regions of the United States is literally impossible. However, states with large ethnic majorities (~80%) are possible, especially in the the US interior and the Southwest. Other areas are more mixed and politically divided and should be their own countries, run as ideological successor states to the Union with full embrace of multiculturalism, rather than being assigned to a nation-state. Thus I postulate the following divisions (in some sort of clockwise order):
- United States of the Atlantic — Multiculturalist state that preserves the ideology of the northeastern United States and parts of the old Northwest, and rules over that area. It may include the District of Columbia, but common sense would suggest moving the capital back up to New York, the natural capital of the United States, which was only changed in the first place due to compromise with Southerners.
- African American Republic — Black nationalist state comprising much of the lower South, especially the southern portions of many states. The city of Atlanta is a probable choice of capital.
- Floridian Republic — Multiculturalist state consisting of Florida and several counties outside of current Florida’s borders. Possibly includes Puerto Rico, reflecting the Spanish Caribbean orientation of [at least southern] Florida. Other US territory in the Caribbean should also go to this country, e.g. US Virgin Islands, Guantanamo Bay, etc.
- Greater Texas — Multiculturalist state including most of current Texas, Oklahoma, and the western half of Louisiana.
- State of Aztlan — Hispanic/Latino nationalist state incorporating most of the Mexican cession, particularly Southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, and a slice of western Texas.
- Cascadian Union — Multiculturalist state comprising Washington, Oregon, Northern California, and nearby counties. Technically it will be a white-majority country for some time, but the cultural values of the Pacific Northwest are not conducive to ethnic nationalism, and it would probably accept immigrants more generously than even the current USA.
- White American Republic — White nationalist state including the Midwest, Appalachia, parts of Virginia and the northern counties of many Southern states, and much of the interior of the United States. Could have Atlantic ports through Virginia/Maryland or some sort of union with Canada. A Canadian collapse is another story entirely and while I am not well-versed on Canada, from what I understand, francophone Quebec has a lot of linguistic nationalists while the western provinces of the country are taking in record numbers of East Asians. Anglo-Canadians have a weak identity meanwhile. What a recipe for national unity.
- Evacuated Provinces — Frankly, it doesn’t matter what happens to Hawaii and Alaska. These are so far from the American homeland that tethering them to us any longer would go against the principles of separatism and regionalism. Perhaps Hawaii and Alaska will have some sort of relationship with the Cascadian Union, or become independent. Hawaii might go to Australia, along with many of the US Pacific Islands as civic nations in the Anglosphere. Guam and American Samoa too would also meet some indeterminate fate regarding sovereignty.
A note about names: I really have no idea what future countries would or should be called. These are just arbitrary placeholders.
A note about successor states: I don’t necessarily endorse each of these as coming into existence or their potential borders, but rather suspect them to be the most likely outcomes; and by likely I mean possible.
READ MORE: Part 2/3